Some topics of conversation
in media never get old and that includes the ongoing discussion of the value of
older consumers. For years, many of us in programming, marketing and
advertising have been engaged in one
long conversation regarding the accuracy of age-based
demographic breaks that effectively exclude Adults 55+ from the sales value
equation. “Oh we don’t need to specifically target Adults 55+,’ they will say,
“because we can reach them anyway – they are heavy TV viewers.” Well not so
fast, sonny. Today’s 55+ are not like 55+s of yesteryear.
While this has been argued
before, it bears repeating. According to economic trends, today’s older
consumers command
much greater buying power compared to current and
previous generations. Boomers alone represent 70% of the
total net worth in America and account for 40% of total consumer demand. It is time for the media metrics to keep pace
with economic realities.
Media
Ecologist Jack Myers believes that it is vital for the
industry to come together and change the traditional age-demo breaks. “We need
to recognize the economic and societal evolutions that have occurred since the
1960s and embrace a new set of demo standards,” he stated. He proposes the
following breaks:
Ø Teens/Tweens
(11-17)
Ø Gen-Z
(18-24)
Ø Millennials
(25-45)
Ø Gen
X/Y (45-62)
Ø Boomers
(63-75)
Ø A
new combination for sales targeting purposes (45-72)
The History
Let me share some history
that will help explain why this makes sense. It all started out innocently
enough. In the early 1960s when advertisers divided the media pie into simply
households and men or women, upstart network ABC, which trailed in overall household
performance, had a great idea; why not further divide the population into age
breaks? After all, the younger-skewing ABC argued, younger people were less
fixed in their brand loyalties and were more open to change and
experimentation. At the time, they were referring to the rebellious Baby Boomers who were very different psychologically from previous (and
future) generations. Unfortunately, the idea of youth worship based on age
alone resonated with advertisers and programmers. Today it has stultified into dogma.
A sales positioning idea
that was initially conceived to more easily categorize audiences into future,
peak and declining brand building and spending years has, in my opinion, led
the industry astray. In fact, one could argue that 18-34, 18-49, 25-54 and 55+ breaks
never really made much sense. Did an 18 year old ever really spend like a 49 year old? Does one fall off the face of
the economic earth on their 55th birthday? Of course not!
If there was ever a cohort
that should be actively sought by advertisers and programmers, it would have to
be psychologically based, not necessarily age-based. Who came of age when
consumerism was at its peak, when advertising was the epicenter of choice
consideration and when media technology was young and experimental? Baby
Boomers. Today they are still active in the workforce, are in their peak
earning years and are as changeable and rebellious as ever. Maybe it’s time to
finally reevaluate
the age-break demographic to better reflect the
behavioral dynamics of the generations it purportedly represents.
Changing Business as Usual
Older consumers in 2018 are
very different from older consumers in 1960. In 1960, if you were 55+ you could
have experienced a Depression and two World Wars in your formative spending
years. There were also much fewer brands and the major forms of communication
were newspaper and radio. Today’s older audiences grew up in a time of relative
luxury and peace, the grand expansion of media communication and advancements
in healthcare that has extended not only longevity but also quality of life. How
today’s older adults live and spend are worlds apart from their grandparents
and parents.
Getting to Consensus
In this highly competitive
media world where reaching the “right” audience is pivotal to success, how do
we get all of the players to agree on a modification of the standard age-break
ranges? Megan Clarken, President Watch, Nielsen,
understands the dynamics of the marketplace. “Reaching industry consensus is
always a journey, especially when it comes to determining changes to the
currency,” she said. “For example, if
an older-skewing network pushes for an age-break re-definition, there will be a
younger skewing network that would push back. Our role is to encourage the
conversation and provide the data and insights - whether its age-gender or
advanced demographics beyond the standard demos - that the industry needs to
transact with confidence.”
But there is some movement
in reaching a new consensus. “While the vast majority of industry deals remain
a demo currency, revisiting demographic breaks is an important piece,” advised Radha
Subramanyam, Executive Vice President, Chief Research and Analytics Officer, CBS Television Network. “Going forward, moving away from age/gender
as the foundation of planning and buying seems to make the most sense. The
framework needs to be audiences and audience cohorts, though defined more
broadly than some of the segments currently popular in the programmatic
ecosystem,” she added.
In a world quickly moving
to more addressable consumer segments, some believe that a change in the
standard age breaks are unnecessary at this time. “Given the
industry’s continued push to implement purchase-based targeting, I am not sure
there is a strong rationale for what looks to be subtle changes,” stated Ed
Gaffney, Head of Implementation Research and Marketplace Analysis U.S., GroupM.
“Targeting begins with planning. The buying teams simply refit the planning
target to a demo to facilitate media deals.”
Further, as we head more towards cross
platform measurements, Gaffney believes that it will inevitably lead to a new
targeting consensus. “The linear networks will most likely not be interested in
moving to different demos when they could move to targets that better align
with those used in digital buys (signal based), and digital is not very
interested in using age based targets for anything but comparative purposes,” he
added.
Others believe in going
further by dropping age-break metrics entirely, even for comparison purposes. John
Rosso, President Market Development, Triton Digital, a leading online audio measurement service, explains, “The real
question in my mind is this: why care about age at all? The digital world has
moved on to audience targeting and, through initiatives like Open AP, the
traditional media world seems to be embracing more advanced audience
segmentation as well. Do we still need to use demographics as a proxy for
behaviors and intents when we can target those things directly?”
Nielsen remains the unbiased arbiter of age-break
demographics preferring the industry to decide for itself what metrics work
best for the buy/sell paradigm. Because of this, Nielsen must remain neutral.
“We don’t set the rules for the industry. We rely on the industry to negotiate
the rules amongst themselves. And there isn’t any general industry committee
that I know of that actually says ‘this is the rule’ which makes it tough to
reach a consensus. Nielsen is a third-party, independent organization so it's
difficult for us to do it on behalf of the industry,” Clarken concluded.
In my next article on this topic, I will explore how
outdated and irrelevant media buying and planning tactics are costing the media
industry billions of dollars.
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