May 14, 2020

The State of the Nation During the Pandemic, According to ePoll’s Gerry Philpott


Gerry Philpott, President and CEO of ePoll wanted to better understand the state of the nation during the pandemic. To that end, his company launched a study that he said was, “the first and most likely last of its kind. We don’t normally do these types of things, but felt a ‘gut check’ of where the country is right now both in their optimism and where they see their lifestyles ahead was needed.  Will they go right back to what they were doing?  If not, what has changed, and why?  And when?” 

To that end, they polled 1,677 persons 13+ the week of April 16th-20th, weighted to reflect their demographic proportions in the U.S.  

Charlene Weisler: What makes this study different?

Gerry Philpott: We felt our clients are getting a lot of data around certain aspects of the virus and its impact, but very little on what advertisers, networks, creative, etc. need to get back to some normalcy in our business and what they should be preparing for.
We asked some questions in a way to get at what it was like before and what they intend to do after as we don’t have previous studies similar to this to go back to.  However, some clients have approached us about the possibility of doing some streaming studies specifically, and if we do that, we have an enormous amount of ‘pre’ data on that as we’ve been tracking streaming trends over the years.  I’m sure you’ve seen the newsletters about that.  If you want to consider writing something about those, Mary Ann would be the best person to speak to as she’s intimately involved in those studies.

Weisler: What are the greatest takeaways?

Philpott: For me, some of the biggest takeaways are:
- How influenced certain people are by what they are hearing from the leaders they like and the national news and social media they follow that tends to be in line with their leadership preference.  As the expression goes, “we’re all in this together” is a bit misleading as you have conservatives who believe a much faster timeline for normalcy and are more optimistic which is reflective of the president and Fox News, etc.  And then you have the moderates and liberals who are more cautious about returning to normal and are taking a wait and see on how optimistic they should feel.
We all know how influential media is or we wouldn’t have such a robust advertising universe, but it was the stark difference played out in the variances between conservatives and others that drives that home.

- It was interesting to see in black and white what we had been anecdotally hearing about how people were going back to some activities that many believed had been replaced by all the smart gadgets and busy lifestyles that have bee the norm the last decade or more.  Things like sewing clubs, hobbies/building models, board games, along with families having ‘cooking’ nights where they take turns with recipes they find or are rotated through friends.  Zoom has helped really power this movement during the crisis and people believe that they will continue this well after.  

The myth by some in the government that people are just ‘rushing to burst’ out of their homes to get back to a full normal just isn’t in the data.  Not ours and not what I’ve seen in other studies.  I believe there will be a pull back to more connecting socially both digitally and in person as families and friends/neighbors rekindle old activities in their surroundings, but not this rush to get out to theaters, restaurants, large venues and vacations.  They will eventually but many of the activities they’ve found to be enjoyable now will continue going forward. (Look how many videos of what so many neighborhoods have been doing with kids birthday parties, the YMCA song on trash barrel day, etc.  This didn’t exist near this level before the crisis and it won’t suddenly disappear after.  Won’t be like when we were kids, but some old things are new again.)

- The last point is that while it makes sense with the economy the way it is and will continue for some time that most will be putting off large purchases, with many believing up to 2 years or more.  What stood out was how many younger people (millennials) are planning to hold off major life decisions such as marriage, children, changing jobs or moving to new locations.  There have been a lot of studies about this age group as they’ve not followed previous age group trends such as Gen X and this will further complicate the predictions for this enigmatic slice of the population.

Weisler: Were there any surprises?

Philpott: Well, surprise is a relative term.  Those three points I brought up were things that seemed to show a greater variance than expected (normalcy/optimism), or ran counter to what was expected (activities post pandemic not showing a rush to get out into the public), and where specific demo stood out such as millennials rethinking some major life changes.  We know now with other stories hitting the same time that people aren’t as anxious to get out as previously thought, especially with the coverage of the protests.

Weisler: What are the greatest challenges in fielding a study of this type at this time?

Philpott: I wouldn’t say there were any particular challenges at this time as people are available both online and even phone survey companies have said they’ve had greater receptivity to phone surveys.

Weisler: Do you think political attitudes have shifted in any way pre and post virus and if so what?

Philpott: We don’t track political attitudes on a regular basis, but just given the number of surveys published where political parties are part of the equation, it appears that the situation has remained pretty static the last 6 months or so.

Weisler: In your opinion, and from your research, how long do you think it will take for consumers to regain their pre-pandemic behavior? And does it vary by category?

Philpott: Based on what our study has shown, we think it will be quite some time return to pre-pandemic behavior (possibly a year, if ever) and once it does start to get back to normal we don’t see a major difference in behavior to what conservatives vs moderates or liberals will be doing as it will be determined more by state and local circumstances.  Second, given the newfound ways of engaging within the family and and “social neighborhoods” we’re not sure it will get back to a 2019 normal for quite some time, and that would be a positive I believe.

Weisler: What do you suggest as next steps for advertisers and for the industry overall?

Philpott: For advertisers, the data clearly shows people need and want information they can use and are more receptive to messaging that is uplifting and entertaining.  It’s been a very rough time and if advertisers can tap into the resiliency of the American public in a way that’s engaging, respectful and hopeful, they will get their messages across.

This article first appeared in Mediapost.com

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